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TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0300Z WED NOV 04 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  90.2W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  90.2W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  90.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.3N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N  85.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.1N  82.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 25NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  90.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 27.2N  78.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 32.0N  69.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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