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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
2100Z SAT OCT 31 1998

...CORRECTION FOR LAST FORECAST POINT...REMOVE INLAND...
 
SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...
AND WESTERN HONDURAS...AND ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF GUATEMALA
...EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND NICARAGUA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  89.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  89.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  89.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.7N  91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N  92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.4N  93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  89.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.5N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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