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TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0300Z FRI OCT 30 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
SMALL CRAFT IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED INLAND NEAR 15.5N  85.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  20SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE   0SW 350NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED INLAND NEAR 15.5N  85.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  85.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 15.8N  85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.4N  86.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  85.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N  87.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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