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TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
2100Z THU OCT 29 1998
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF MEXICO...BELIZE...GUATEMALA
... AND HONDURAS HAVE CHANGED THEIR HURRICANE WARNINGS TO TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS.  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS.  AT 4 PM...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
BELIZE.  SMALL CRAFT IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  85.8W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 350NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  85.8W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  85.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.9N  85.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.2N  86.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.8N  86.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  85.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 17.5N  87.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 20.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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