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HURRICANE MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0300Z THU OCT 29 1998
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF
THESE AREAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  86.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT.......125NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 350NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  86.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  86.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  86.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 20.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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