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HURRICANE MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0900Z MON OCT 26 1998
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON
EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND.  A HURRICANE
WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  82.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  923 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT
64 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 200SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  82.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  82.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.6N  83.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.8N  83.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.1N  84.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  82.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N  84.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
MAYFIELD
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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