ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1398 1500Z SUN OCT 25 1998 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR EASTERN CUBA FROM CAMAGUEY TO GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOME OF THE COLOMBIAN TERRITORIAL ISLANDS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 79.8W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 200SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 79.8W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 79.4W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.7N 80.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 81.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.2N 82.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 79.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N 83.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z LAWRENCE STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN