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HURRICANE MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0900Z SAT OCT 24 1998
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT
64 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 35NE  40SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  45SW  45NW
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  77.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.2N  77.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N  77.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.7N  78.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  77.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N  79.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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