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TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
1500Z FRI OCT 23 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  77.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW
34 KT....... 30NE  50SE  20SW  20NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  77.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N  78.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.8N  78.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  77.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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