ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0900Z THU OCT 22 1998
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  78.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.0N  81.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  78.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N  82.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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