ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0300Z THU OCT 22 1998
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  77.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  77.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  77.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  77.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 16.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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