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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1198
1500Z SUN SEP 27 1998
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  41.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT 29 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  41.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  42.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 41.1N  37.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 43.6N  28.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 45.0N  19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N  41.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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