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HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1198
0900Z SUN SEP 27 1998
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  44.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT 29 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  44.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N  45.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 40.0N  41.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 43.3N  33.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 44.7N  25.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N  44.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 45.5N  19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 45.8N   9.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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