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HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0998
0900Z THU SEP 24 1998
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  41.6W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  41.6W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  41.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.9N  42.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 35.5N  41.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 37.7N  37.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  41.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 39.2N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 39.7N  19.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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