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HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0998
2100Z WED SEP 23 1998
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  40.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE  70SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  40.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  40.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.2N  40.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 34.8N  41.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 37.4N  39.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...175NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  40.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 39.6N  36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 41.5N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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