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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0898
0900Z SUN SEP 20 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF PENSACOLA TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN
CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  90.8W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
34 KT....... 50NE  75SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 00NE  00SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  90.8W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  90.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 31.3N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.5N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  90.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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