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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0898
0300Z SUN SEP 20 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF PENSACOLA TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WEST OF INTRACOASTAL
CITY IS DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  90.6W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT....... 50NE  75SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  75SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  90.6W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  90.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.1N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.8N  89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.7N  87.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  90.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 35.0N  85.3W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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