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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0898
2100Z SAT SEP 19 1998
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WEST
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO SABINE PASS ON THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA
BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT EAST OF PENSACOLA
TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  91.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  360 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  91.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  91.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 31.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  91.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 35.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 37.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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