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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0898
0900Z FRI SEP 18 1998

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD FROM SARGENT TO
MATAGORDA TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM MATAGORDA TEXAS TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM MATAGORDA TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS AND FROM GRAND ISLE
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  92.8W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  92.8W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 25.1N  93.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N  93.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.8N  93.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  92.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.7N  93.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 32.6N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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