ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0898
2100Z THU SEP 17 1998
 
COR TO PRESSURE AND SMALL CRAFT SECTION

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM SARGENT TEXAS TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPI TO GRAND ISLE AND FROM
SARGENT TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS REMAIN IN PORT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  92.0W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  92.0W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  91.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.8N  92.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 27.5N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  92.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 30.5N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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