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TROPICAL STORM GEORGES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  54
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0798
2100Z MON SEP 28 1998
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA TO DESTIN FLORIDA IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA IS DISCONTINUED.
 
IN SUMMARY...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW
ORLEANS AREA.  INTERESTS EAST OF DESTIN AND WEST OF GRAND ISLE
SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  88.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT
50 KT....... 60NE 100SE  75SW  60NW
34 KT....... 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 200SE 200SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  88.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  88.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 31.1N  88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 31.7N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 32.0N  87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE IN THE
WARNING AREA.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  88.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 32.3N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 32.5N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
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