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HURRICANE GEORGES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0798
2100Z SUN SEP 20 1998
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM DOMINICA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO RICO.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
MARTINIQUE SOUTHWARD TO ST. LUCIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  59.9W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 400NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  59.9W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  59.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.9N  62.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.7N  64.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  59.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.2N  69.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
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