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HURRICANE GEORGES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0798
1500Z SUN SEP 20 1998
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEAST
CARIBBEAN SEA FROM DOMINICA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO RICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
MARTINIQUE SOUTHWARD TO ST. LUCIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  58.5W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT
64 KT....... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 125SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 400NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  58.5W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  57.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.8N  60.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE 125SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  58.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW 100NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
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