ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE GEORGES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL0798 1500Z SAT SEP 19 1998 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD TO THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY ALSO BE EXTENDED WESTWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 52.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 110SE 110SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 52.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 52.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.4N 55.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 110SE 110SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.7N 58.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 52.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 17.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z AVILA STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC. NNNN