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HURRICANE GEORGES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0798
0900Z SAT SEP 19 1998
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST.
LUCIA NORTHWARD TO ANGUILLA INCLUDING SABA AND ST. MAARTEN. A
HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER
THIS MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.3W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......175NE 110SE 110SW 175NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.3W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.7N  54.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...175NE 110SE 110SW 175NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.2N  57.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  55SW  55NW
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.6N  60.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...190NE 130SE 130SW 190NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  51.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 16.2N  63.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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