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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0698
1500Z FRI SEP 11 1998
CORRECTION TO WIND GUST IN INITIAL WIND SPEED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO
COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS NORTH AND EAST TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM MORGAN CITY TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA...AND SOUTHWARD
FROM BAFFIN BAY THROUGH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  97.7W AT 11/1500Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT.......250NE 200SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  97.7W AT 11/1500Z...INLAND
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  97.4W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.2N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.9N  99.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF 28.6N  97.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N 101.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
 
 
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