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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0698
0300Z FRI SEP 11 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO
COAST FROM TAMPICO MEXICO NORTH AND EAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS.
 
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
MISSISSIPPI TO PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  95.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT.......200NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......300NE 200SE 120SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 120SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  95.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  95.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N  96.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT...200NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...300NE 200SE 120SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.3N  97.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  95.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 31.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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