ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0598
2100Z WED SEP 02 1998
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO THE
SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF SUWANNEE RIVER
TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS FLORIDA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
WEST OF PASCAGOULA TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  87.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT 8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT.......100NE 120SE   0SW  30NW
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  30SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  87.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  88.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW  30NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  30SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 31.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 32.5N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT

STORM SURGE FLODDING OF 8 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N  87.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 35.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN