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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0598
0300Z WED SEP 02 1998
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM
PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO CAMERON LOUISIANA AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS
IN EFFECT EAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO DESTIN FLORIDA AND WEST
OF CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF
PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO DESTIN FLORIDA.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  91.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 75NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  30SW  30NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  91.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  91.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 28.6N  90.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 29.8N  89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 75NE 100SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  91.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
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