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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0598
2100Z TUE SEP 01 1998
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF
OF MEXICO COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO CAMERON LOUISIANA AND
A HURRICANE WATCH FROM EAST OF PASCAGOULA TO DESTIN FLORIDA AND WEST
OF CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  92.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 45NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  25SW  25NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 200SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  92.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.8N  91.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 45NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.5N  91.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.5N  91.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  92.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 34.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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