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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0598
0900Z TUE SEP 01 1998
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  93.6W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  93.6W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  93.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  93.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N  92.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N  90.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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