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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0598
2100Z MON AUG 31 1998
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO COAST LATER TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  93.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  93.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.5N  92.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  93.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 28.5N  90.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 31.0N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
  
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