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TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0398
0900Z SAT AUG 22 1998
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS TO SABINE PASS TEXAS.  AT 4 AM CDT...TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SABINE PASS TEXAS TO
CAMERON LOUISIANA.  SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM SABINE
PASS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  96.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......175NE  50SE  50SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..175NE  75SE  75SW 175NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  96.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  96.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 28.6N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.1N  99.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.5N 101.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  96.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N 103.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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