ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0298
2100Z MON AUG 24 1998
...ADD PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS TO WATCH AREA... 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FROM SAVANNAH
GEORGIA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
RESIDENTS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD FOLLOW INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDATIONS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
 
ALSO...AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  72.9W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
50 KT.......125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
34 KT.......200NE 175SE 125SW 200NW
12 FT SEAS..350NE 200SE 200SW 400NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  72.9W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  72.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.1N  73.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 200NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 28.9N  74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 200NW
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.7N  75.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 200NW
 
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR IN
THE WARNED AREA.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  72.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 36.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
NNNN