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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0298
0300Z THU AUG 20 1998
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR ANTIGUA..BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA.  THE GOVERNMENT
OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  52.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  52.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  51.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.6N  54.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.9N  57.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.2N  61.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  52.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N  64.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 24.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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