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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0198
1500Z FRI JUL 31 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  49.5W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......125NE  25SE  25SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  49.5W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  49.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.7N  51.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...125NE  25SE  25SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...125NE  25SE  25SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...125NE  25SE  25SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  49.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 19.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 23.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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