ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0198
0900Z FRI JUL 31 1998
CORRECTION TO  12 FT SEAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  48.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  48.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  48.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.7N  50.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.5N  52.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  54.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  48.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 20.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 24.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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