ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0198
0300Z FRI JUL 31 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  47.6W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  47.6W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  47.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.3N  49.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N  51.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.4N  53.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  47.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 19.7N  56.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 23.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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