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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0198
2100Z THU JUL 30 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  46.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  46.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  46.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.6N  48.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.2N  51.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  46.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 21.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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