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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS
CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. 
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO...AND INTERESTS IN THIS REGION SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

2. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...
IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN

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