ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998
 
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF KAY REMAINS EXPOSED WITH SPORADIC DEEP
CONVECTION WELL-REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR
THE LAST 24 HOURS.  KAY HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 130/04 KNOTS.  THE SYSTEM IS NOW INVOLVED
WITH THE ITCZ AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE/E AND WEAKEN.
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON KAY...UNLESS RE-GENERATION OCCURS.  FURTHER INFORMATION 
ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS
FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSES AND FORECAST BRANCH...
TAFB...AT THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03
KNHC AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2.
 
GUINEY
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     17/0300Z 11.6N 120.4W    30 KTS
12HR VT     17/1200Z 11.3N 119.9W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     18/0000Z 11.3N 119.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING

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