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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI SEP 11 1998
 
FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS CENTER HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD.  MODEL GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY DIVERGENT IN DIRECTION OF
MOTION...SO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FOR LITTLE MOTION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER...BUT DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

LAWRENCE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     11/1500Z 19.5N 109.3W    25 KTS
12HR VT     12/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W    25 KTS
24HR VT     12/1200Z 19.0N 109.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     13/0000Z 19.0N 109.0W    DISSIPATED
 
 
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