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TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT HOWARD HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF
LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW PATCHES OF CONVECTION. THE CENTER HAS BEEN
RELOCATED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION.  INITIAL
INTENSITY IS 40 KNOTS AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER
COOLER WATERS.
 
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/7.  THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE
STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME AS IT WEAKENS AND BECOMES
STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     28/2100Z 20.6N 129.2W    40 KTS
12HR VT     29/0600Z 21.0N 130.5W    35 KTS
24HR VT     29/1800Z 21.0N 132.0W    30 KTS
36HR VT     30/0600Z 21.3N 134.0W    25 KTS
48HR VT     30/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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