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TROPICAL STORM HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 1998
 
DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE.  INITIAL INTENSITY IS 45
KNOTS AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HOWARD MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS.
 
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/10.  THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE
STEERED MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME AS IT WEAKENS AND BECOMES
STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     28/1500Z 21.1N 128.5W    45 KTS
12HR VT     29/0000Z 21.5N 130.0W    40 KTS
24HR VT     29/1200Z 22.5N 131.5W    35 KTS
36HR VT     30/0000Z 23.5N 133.5W    30 KTS
48HR VT     30/1200Z 23.5N 135.5W    30 KTS
72HR VT     31/1200Z 24.0N 140.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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