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HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 1998
 
AN EYE FEATURE HAS APPEARED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THE LAST SEVERAL
HOURS AND INDICATES STRENGTHENING.  DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM 
TAFB AND SAB ARE 5.0 AND 4.5 RESPECTIVELY.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS INCREASED TO 85 KNOTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ALONG
THE LINES OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/12.  MOST OF THE TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWEST HEADING THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND
THE SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK.  THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT
LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY DUE
TO SEVERAL 06Z SHIP REPORTS. 
 
GUINEY
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/0900Z 13.1N 104.9W    85 KTS
12HR VT     22/1800Z 13.9N 106.5W    95 KTS
24HR VT     23/0600Z 15.2N 108.6W   100 KTS
36HR VT     23/1800Z 16.4N 110.4W   105 KTS
48HR VT     24/0600Z 18.0N 112.0W   105 KTS
72HR VT     25/0600Z 21.5N 115.0W   100 KTS
 
 
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