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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 1998
 
THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND IS DOWNGRADED 
TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES 
FROM TAFB AND SAB.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/04 BASED ON THE PAST 24 HOURS 
OF MOTION.  WITH VERY WEAK RIDGING TO THE NORTH...THE FORECAST 
TRACK IS FOR A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD DRIFT UNTIL DISSIPATION.

THERE ARE A COUPLE OF SHIPS WITH 10 FOOT SEAS WITHIN ABOUT 200 NMI
OF THE CENTER AND A RADIUS OF 150 NMI IS ESTIMATED FOR 12 FOOT SEAS
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

LAWRENCE

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     16/2100Z 24.9N 126.5W    30 KTS
12HR VT     17/0600Z 25.3N 127.2W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     17/1800Z 25.7N 128.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     18/0600Z 25.9N 129.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     18/1800Z 26.1N 130.0W    DISSIPATED
72HR VT     19/1800Z                 DISSIPATED
 
 
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