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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SUN AUG 09 1998
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH IS FILLED WITH STRATIFIED CLOUDS.
INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 25 KNOTS.  THE CIRCULATION REMAINS
OVER COOL WATER AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL BE
THE LAST DISCUSSION ON FRANK UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FRANK WILL
BE CARRIED AS A WEAK LOW IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST.
 
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/10.   ALL TRACK PREDICTION MODELS
SHOW EITHER A NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. 
 
HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA.  THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL
ALSO CONTINUE ADVECTING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH FRANK INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
JARVINEN
 
INITIAL POSITION AND MAX WIND
 
INITIAL     10/0300Z 28.8N 117.6W    25 KTS...DISSIPATED
 
 
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