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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT WED AUG 05 1998

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS RETURNED...IN A FEW THIN BANDS AROUND
ESTELLE...BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT VERY DEEP AND THIS IS LIKELY
ONLY A TRANSIENT EVENT.  CURRENT WINDS ARE HELD AT 30 KNOTS WITH
WEAKENING FORECAST AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  ESTELLE IS FORECAST
TO BE DISSIPATING IN 36-48 HOURS.

MOTION IS ABOUT THE SAME AS IN THE EARLIER ADVISORY PACKAGE AND THE
FORECAST IS ALSO SIMILAR.  THIS IS CLOSE TO THE NAVY OPERATIONAL
GLOBAL ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTION SYSTEM...NOGAPS...MODEL TRACK AND
CLIMATOLOGY.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     05/2100Z 19.7N 135.2W    30 KTS
12HR VT     06/0600Z 20.2N 137.1W    30 KTS
24HR VT     06/1800Z 20.8N 139.5W    25 KTS
36HR VT     07/0600Z 21.0N 142.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     08/1800Z...DISSIPATED 
 
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