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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE AUG 04 1998
 
THERE HAS BEEN A FURTHER SLOWING OF THE FORWARD MOTION OF ESTELLE...
TO NEAR 10 KNOTS...STILL TOWARD THE WEST.  CONSEQUENTLY THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST HAS BEEN SLOWED JUST A BIT MORE BUT OTHERWISE IS BASICALLY
UNCHANGED.  
 
DEEP CONVECTION HAS PRACTICALLY VANISHED AT THIS TIME.  CURRENT
INTENSITY NUMBER IS 3.0 FROM BOTH THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND
THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL SATELLITE DATA INFORMATION SERVICE...
CORRESPONDING TO A WIND SPEED OF 45 KNOTS.  EVEN THOUGH IT HAS A
LARGE...WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION...AND WILL BE RATHER SLOW TO SPIN
DOWN...ESTELLE SHOULD BE REDUCED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN A DAY
OR TWO AND DISSIPATING AROUND THE END OF THE PERIOD.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     04/2100Z 18.5N 130.4W    45 KTS
12HR VT     05/0600Z 18.5N 132.0W    40 KTS
24HR VT     05/1800Z 18.7N 134.0W    35 KTS
36HR VT     06/0600Z 19.0N 136.5W    30 KTS
48HR VT     06/1800Z 19.0N 139.0W    25 KTS
72HR VT     07/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
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