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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT MON JUL 20 1998

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THERE IS STILL A DISTINCT SWIRL
OF LOW CLOUDS IDENTIFYING THE CYCLONE.  HOWEVER...DEEP CONVECTION
HAS BEEN NON-EXISTENT FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS.  CELIA IS IN A
STABLE...COOL WATER ENVIRONMENT AND A CONTINUED GRADUAL SPINDOWN IS
FORECAST.  DISSIPATION SHOULD OCCUR IN A DAY OR TWO.

LATEST SATELLITE FIXES REQUIRED ONLY A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SHIFT IN
TRACK.  A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION OF AROUND 8 KNOTS OR SO IS LIKELY
TO CONTINUE UNTIL CELIA/S DEMISE.

GUINEY/PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     20/2100Z 22.4N 120.2W    30 KTS
12HR VT     21/0600Z 22.6N 121.5W    25 KTS
24HR VT     21/1800Z 22.7N 123.2W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     22/0600Z 22.8N 125.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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